Posted inWisdom

Bias Quote

The idea that future is unpredictable is undermined every day by the ease with which the past is explained - Daniel Kahneman
Our powerful ability to explain the past tricks us into believing the future was always obvious and predictable, which it absolutely was not.
Posted inWisdom

Confidence Quote

The illusion that we understand the past fosters overconfidence in our ability to predict the future - Daniel Kahneman
The core message here is brutally simple: our clear, coherent story of the past is a lie we tell ourselves, and that lie makes us dangerously confident about a future that is fundamentally unpredictable.